CITIC Jiantou: The domestic cross-border e-commerce industrial chain has been gradually improved. CITIC Jiantou said that from 2010 to 2014, China's cross-border e-commerce entered a stage of rapid development. With the rise of mobile Internet infrastructure and the penetration rate of overseas cross-border e-commerce giants in the Mainland, the supporting facilities of the industrial chain have been gradually improved, subdivided and specialized, relevant policies have continued to exert their strength, and the customs supervision model has gradually become clear; Cross-border e-commerce industry chain is long, and there are relatively many hidden risk points because it involves cross-border. The cost structure of each link is mainly different due to the differences in participation roles, platform models, product types, warehousing and logistics structures, etc. Overall, the current cost structure is relatively stable, but there is also a large room for optimization. The degree of specialization and refinement of service providers will be improved, and the overall control, collaboration and empowerment of the industry chain and the refined arrangement led by big data and industry cognition will become one of the core competitiveness.Ministry of National Defense: Fujian Ship will gradually launch the follow-up test project. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: According to the announcement of Shanghai Maritime Safety Administration, in early December, traffic control was implemented for the import of a large ship in the deep water channel of the Yangtze River estuary. Some analysts believe that China Navy Fujian Ship may have completed its fifth sea trial and returned to its home port. Can you confirm it? Wu Qian: It is a normal arrangement for Fujian Ship to carry out relevant tests during the construction process. In the next step, follow-up test projects will be gradually launched according to the progress of aircraft carrier construction. (issued by the Ministry of National Defense)Cathay Pacific: The number of the group has exceeded 30,000, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. On December 13, Cathay Pacific said that it had the largest recruitment in history in 2024, with about 7,000 new employees hired throughout the year, and the total number of employees in the group exceeded 30,000. With the total flight volume of Cathay Pacific and Hong Kong Express returning to the pre-epidemic level in January next year, Cathay Pacific announced that the two-year reconstruction trip will be completed soon, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. (Hong Kong Economic Times)
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato: The Mitsubishi UFJ incident is under investigation. Note: Previously, Japan's Financial Services Agency will order Mitsubishi UFJ Bank to prepare a report on a series of safe theft by a former employee.Citic Jiantou Pharmaceutical's 2025 strategy: looking for new additions and integration opportunities. Citic Jiantou said that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the medical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations as a whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.According to people familiar with the matter, Trump's advisers and officials from his newly formed government efficiency department asked him if he could abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
Huatai Securities: The main industrial chain of lithium battery pays attention to the opportunity of profit bottoming, and the new technology focuses on solid-state batteries. Huatai Securities said that the domestic market policy side is superimposed on the enterprise side, and the carbon emission assessment in Europe is overweight in 2025. It is expected that the global new energy vehicle market will maintain steady growth in 2025. Coupled with the rapid growth of energy storage, it is estimated that the global battery demand will reach 1544/1937GWh in 2024/2025, which is +30%/+25% year-on-year. In the fourth quarter, the demand for power and energy storage is improving, and the prices of some links of lithium battery have shown signs of stabilization. We are optimistic about the links with tight supply and demand pattern and strong differentiation, and the performance of related enterprises is expected to rise in volume and price next year. In terms of new technologies, solid-state batteries continue to be tested and promoted, composite aluminum foil is expected to be mass-produced next year, lithium-sodium mixed technology is gradually landing, and fast charging permeability is expected to increase. It is recommended to pay attention to the progress of new technology industries.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.The memorial hall for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre by the Japanese invaders held a ceremony to raise the national flag and fly it at half mast. (CCTV)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide